Thursday, May 7, 2020

投資日誌 2020/04/30 - 一動不如一靜


緊接落三月的股災, 四月份最多人知道應該是大家發現原來油價是可以負錢的, 還有就是巴老把所有航空股票清倉。

二當家亦在4月份時做了幾個交易, 不過非常失敗。大市升番晒, 升到股災之前一樣。 有人睇好, 建議唔同政府對賭, 有人睇淡, 因為實體經濟真係差。人生交差點, 究竟 cask is king, 還是 stock is king?

疫情方面, 亞太區已經穩定落黎, 但係新加坡仲未搞掂, 手上 SG REIT 隻隻都跌25%以上, 希望 新加坡快D 可以減低疫情傳播。

另外開始業績期, 手上有幾隻 BOND 都好危, 最危係呢兩隻 FET (能源) 及 AMC (娛樂)。手上3隻 CEF 都未有 ROC, 繼續 let it run, 其中MMU 有D 低水, 可能會加少少注。第一季美企業績唔算太差, 估計第二季至係最難睇。

以反彈力度來說, 股票反彈強勁, 其他類別無乜點升。


Performance
Distribution
BOND
-21%
26%
CEF
-16%
6%
Preferred Stock
-16%
13%
SG REIT
-28%
15%
Stock
-4%
34%
REIT
-19%
6%
Grand Total
-15%
100%

YTD -15.4%


失敗的四月 trading 紀念

買入 
SDS @ 24.4 - 諗住以小博大, short x2 S&P500, 諗住個市會回一回, 點知回都唔回, 唔好同政府美國對賭, 蝕住走
1883 @ 2.71 - 穩定現金流, long hold
2606 @44.5 - 低水物管, 博一線物管升完去升二線, 不過發現二線總有原因, 唔識升
MSFT @163.1 - 升是比較好的投資, 升勢中追入

賣出
SDS @23
SPY @ 24
1052 @4.53 - 一賣就飛天
1848 @ 6.46 - 一賣就飛天
1928 @ 30
5 @ 40
700 @ 374  - 一賣就飛天 😓
MDT @ 98 - 大當家減持


Top 10 holdings

Symbol
Description
Gain/Loss
CC 6 5/8 05/15/23 1AB4
CC 6 5/8 05/15/23
-6%
1238
POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDIN
-2%
165
CHINA EVERBRIGHT LIMITED
-19%
2318
PING AN INSURANCE GROUP CO-H
9%
823
LINK REIT
-9%
9988
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD
-5%
AW9U
FIRST REAL ESTATE INVT TRUST
-24%
P40U
STARHILL GLOBAL REIT
-35%
BTOU
MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
-28%
FFC
FLAHERTY & CRUMRINE PREFERRE
-10%


News

FET
Forum Energy Technologies, Inc has offered to purchase up to 80 Million USD of its outstanding 6.250% Senior Notes due 2021 through a Dutch Auction tender offer.

https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/forum-energy-technologies-incannounces-commencement-of-tender-offer-and-consent-solicitation-2020-04-15?tesla=y


最後, FET 近日有回購債券計劃, 用一種 Dutch Auction 的型式進行, 上 WIKI 查過, 這個是一種「價低者得」既回購, 每 $1000 蚊面值既債, 公司定價用 $340~400 黎收回, 換句話說即係 3 ~ 4 折收回。回收量只係發行量既 5% 左右, 唔知間公司能否挨過 2021 年。


//A Dutch auction is one of several similar types of auctions for buying or selling goods.[1][2][3] Most commonly, it means an auction in which the auctioneer begins with a high asking price in the case of selling, and lowers it until some participant accepts the price, or it reaches a predetermined reserve price. //

Title of Security CUSIP Number Principal Amount Tender Cap Early Tender Total Consideration
Outstanding(1) Payment (2) Acceptable Range (2) (3)
6.250% Senior Notes due 2021 34984V AB6 $387,830,000 $80,000,000 $50.00 $340.00 to $400.00




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